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7-22-2002

1. BSE: there are several new reports involving individual case reports in Slovakia, Ukraine and the Czech Republic. Russia has increasing concern over risk in that country. In a real economic twist to the BSE scare, 2 companies in Japan have used the BSE issue in schemes to defraud the government. Both companies tried to pass off foreign beef as domestic beef thus causing their sales to plummet dramatically because of the BSE scare in that country (Say what???). Sounds odd till you understand that the schemers were banking on the domestic program payoffs and the ability to file for bankruptcy protection. 

2. vCJD: In the latest data available, the case incidence rate shows a rapid increase: "Analysis of the incidence of vCJD onsets and deaths from Jan 1994 to Dec 2001 shows evidence of an annual increase of around 20 percent for both onsets and deaths but, because of the considerable uncertainties over the incubation period for vCJD, continuing surveillance will be required to establish whether this trend is sustained in future years." (The National CJD Surveillance Unit, 10th Annual Report, Tue 9 Jul 2002). Because of this finding newspaper reports are latching onto a predicted increase in vCJD cases (see report below). Additional information in this report indicates genetic predisposition for development of vCJD, specifically methionine homozygosity at codon 129 for the prion protein gene.

3. CJD and CWD??: I've included at the bottom a rather lengthy newspaper report speculating on a cluster of Wisconsin CJD cases and their possible relationship to CWD. CWD is THE headline wildlife news in the US right now and speculation on its relationship to human disease continues in the absence of good data on the issue. As you all will remember, similar speculation on CJD and CWD followed the death of a 63 year old in Colorado recently. Some folks are really paying attention to the possibility and the recent cases in unusually young (for sporadic CJD) have only added fuel to the fire. If you thought the recent poll showing 36% of Wisconsin deer hunters would not participate in this fall's hunt was high, wait till the effects of this report are disseminated. A new test (an ELISA) being used in Europe for BSE and scrapie is undergoing trials at CSU to see if it works for CWD. If validated this will greatly increase the speed of testing surveillance tissues.

4. West Nile: WNV continues its march westward. In the last couple of weeks first cases for 2002 have been reported in birds in Oklahoma, Nebraska, Wisconsin and parts of Canada, and a horse in eastern North Dakota. In addition, the first cases of WNV in humans for 2002 have been reported, all 7 in Louisiana (see report below). Ages have been widely varying including teenage, middle age and older. The number of cases and age distribution have created significant concern. WNV is an avian virus with humans and horses as aberrant dead-end hosts. Because migratory birds carry the virus, the disease is expected to eventually envelope the entire country. WNV has also been reported now in Ontario, Manitoba, and Quebec. Furthest west cases are Oklahoma/Texas, and horses in North Dakota/Texas.

5. FMD: Scientific review and recommendations from the Royal Society on Britain's handling of the FMD outbreak recommend changes in policy. Vaccination would be the front line defense rather than wholesale slaughter of millions of animals. You all might remember back to when this was a hot issue. In most countries, if you are vaccinating against a disease that is considered prima facie evidence that your country is not free of the disease. Thus there has been intense pressure to eradicate by slaughter rather than through use of vaccines. I think people are starting to recognize the global nature of FMD and reexamining policies that result in tens of millions of animals killed. Even just economically that is hard to justify. The second issue, though, may be tougher to overcome - people's concern over eating FMD vaccinated animals (see report below); never mind the fact that we already consume animals with lots of vaccinations.

Thomas J. Roffe, PhD, DVM
USGS-BRD
Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center
FWP Bldg, 1400 S. 19th Ave.
Bozeman, MT  59718-5496
T: 406-994-5789
F: 406-994-4090
Cell: 406-539-4955


Supporting Documents:

Date: Thu 11 Jul 2002
From: M. Cosgriff <mcosgriff@hotmail.com>
BBC News Online, Wed 10 Jul 2002 [edited]
<http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/health/newsid_2120000/2120005.stm>

CJD cases "will increase"

Cases of variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease, the human form of mad cow disease, are set to increase by about 20 percent each year, experts have predicted. But scientists at the National CJD Surveillance Unit in Edinburgh stress numbers will still be very small. In their latest report (see above), they said the "north-south divide", where the incidence is higher in Scotland and northern England, will continue. The report predicted there would be 32 deaths from vCJD, the human form of bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE), this year.

The report said: "The upward trend in vCJD cases continues to be statistically significant with an increase of 21 percent per year for onsets and 23 percent per year for deaths. "The incidence of vCJD across the UK continues to show a north-south divide, with a higher incidence being maintained in the north of the UK." But scientists stress the number of cases is small, and say the only "statistically significant cluster" of vCJD cases occurred in Leicestershire. There, health officials suggested meat preparation techniques used by local butchers in the 1980s could have led to cross-contamination of muscle meat with brain tissue. 

But Professor Peter Smith, chairman of SEAC, the Spongiform Encephalopathy Advisory Committee, told BBC News Online: "They are the best estimates at the rate at which cases have been going up. But there is quite a lot of uncertainty." Professor Smith added: "When vCJD was first described, people felt that, because so many people could potentially have eaten infected meat, that there could have been an epidemic of tens of thousands. But as time has gone on, that has looked far less likely."

Date: Wed 17 Jul 2002

From: ProMED-mail <promed@promedmail.org>
Source: CNN online,  Associated Press report, Wed 17 Jul 2002 [edited]
<http://www.cnn.com/2002/HEALTH/conditions/07/17/west.nile.worries.ap/index.htm>


Louisiana: Human Case Number Rises to Seven in Year 2002

NEW ORLEANS: Health officials are keeping a close eye on the incidence of West Nile virus in Louisiana after 4 new cases were confirmed this week, bringing the number to 7 this year. The federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta confirmed this week that a 34-year-old woman and 3 men, ages 17, 62 and 76, had the mosquito-borne virus infection.

Last week, state health officials reported that 3 people, ages 53, 62 and 78, had the disease. The 78-year-old man was the nation's first human found to have the disease this year.

Louisiana has not set any West Nile records, a 1999 outbreak killed 7 people and sent 62 others to hospitals in New York, but Louisiana's epidemiologist, Dr. Raoult Ratard, is concerned. "In 2001, no county in the United States had more than 3 cases," Ratard said. "We are getting up into fairly concentrated numbers. And of course it's early in the season. So, the news is not that good."

West Nile virus has killed 18 people along the East Coast since it was first detected in 1999. Last summer was the most severe, with 66 human infections and 9 deaths nationwide.


Date: 18 Jul 2002
From: ProMED-mail <promed@promedmail.org>
Source: The Times, 17 Jul 2002 [edited]
<http://www.timesonline.co.uk/section/0,,172,00.html>

Consumers "must be persuaded that vaccinated beef is safe"

A campaign to promote the safety of meat and milk from animals vaccinated against foot-and-mouth disease was recommended yesterday as a vital weapon to combat any future outbreak. The country's leading scientific establishment, the Royal Society, insists that consumers must be won over if the Government is to adopt a vaccination strategy. As The Times revealed last month, the scientific inquiry backs the use of "ring" vaccination as "major tool of first resort" to prevent any future outbreak becoming an epidemic.

Unlike the Dutch experience last year, when vaccinated animals were subsequently slaughtered and banned from human consumption, the inquiry team advocates "vaccinate to live" with animals going normally into the food chain. It is demanding a change of rules throughout the European Union by the end of next year. 

Sir Brian Follett, chairman of the inquiry, said that the Food Standards Agency had already advised that there were no risks to human health about eating products from vaccinated animals. He added: "I don't know if society can face the alternative." (He was clearly referring to the mass slaughter last year of more than 10 million farm animals.) Ian McConnell, director of research at the Department of Clinical Veterinary Medicine at Cambridge University, said that we already consume products from animals vaccinated against 33 other diseases.

Consumer resistance was one of the main reasons for the Government rejecting a vaccination programme last year. Supermarkets were willing to stock vaccinated food but feared labelled products could be left unsold.

Sir Brian said such a controversial debate should not take place at the height of an epidemic. Contingency plans for a future outbreak of livestock diseases should be debated in public and agreed by all interested groups including consumers. An emergency drill should be rehearsed each year. 

The inquiry also criticised the slaughter of animals within a mile of an infected farm. This so-called "contiguous cull" was recommended by scientists who had drawn up worst-case scenarios and forecasts for the disease. David Black, a vet in private practice in Cumbria and a member of the inquiry, said: "We still don't know how 80 percent of farms became infected. The contiguous cull was an attempt to identify infected animals but it was a blunt instrument."

The 400 000-pounds inquiry report concludes, however: "For the foreseeable future there is no alternative, when an outbreak occurs, to the rapid culling of diseased animals, and all those that are ... likely to have been

infected by them." Sir Brian explained that the inquiry had favoured emergency vaccination because mass culling was ineffective. "Five times in 80 years we have not been able to contain this disease with these methods. So we think, in most cases, we should use vaccination." 

The inquiry also accepted that the United Kingdom should seek to remain free of the disease without routine vaccination. Within 10 to 15 years, however, a policy of routine vaccination may be possible. Diagnostic tests will first have to be developed to distinguish whether an animal is vaccinated or infected. Ben Gill, president of the National Farmers' Union, supported emergency vaccination as an option. "The threat of importing disease is increasing. It is vital that the resources needed to protect our animal populations and native crops and plants keep pace with that." 

A new early-warning system to alert the country to the potential threat of new animal and human diseases is proposed by the Royal Society inquiry. Bluetongue is a disease of sheep and goats, never yet found in Britain but present in North America, China, Spain, France, Italy and the Balkans "and so might move into Britain." It is fatal in 70 percent of cases. African horse sickness can also affect dogs. Like bluetongue, this disease spreads by midge bites. Avian influenza or fowl plague, always fatal to poultry, was last seen in Britain 10 years ago. In 1997 a lethal strain was transmitted directly from chickens to humans in Hong Kong. All chickens there were slaughtered, a move the report describes as "drastic but wise." Emergency vaccination is used to control an outbreak.


Date: Sun 21 Jul 2002
From: PromED-mail <promed@promedmail.org>
Source: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Sat 20 Jul 2002 [edited]
<http://www.jsonline.com/news/state/jul02/60546.asp>

 Did wild game feasts lead to fatal brain disorders?

Wild game feasts were a fall ritual that drew outdoorsmen to a family cabin overlooking the Brule River in Wisconsin. The father of the present owner died of Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (CJD) and 2 other participants also died from rare brain disorders. Now, years later, the legacy of those hearty spreads of the late 1980s and early '90s is a medical mystery linking these 3 diners.

One by one, the 3 have died from rare brain diseases, leaving their families and health officials wondering whether their deaths were an eerie coincidence or evidence that the deer and elk brain disorder known as chronic wasting disease has crossed the threshold from animals to people. Either way, their tale is one more warning sign on a cautionary trail cutting through the heart of one of Wisconsin's most popular and revered traditions: deer hunting.

Of the 3 deceased, 2 died of CJD, an always-fatal brain ailment that occurs in only one in a million people. The third was believed to have died of Pick's disease, a somewhat more common neurological disorder that can be diagnosed in error when the true culprit is CJD.

Over the years, as many as 100 men may have taken part in the wild game feeds at the Brule River cabin. The odds are strongly against 2 men dying of CJD, according to Dennis Maki, a professor of medicine and an infectious disease expert at the University of Wisconsin-Madison; 3 would increase those odds dramatically."It's very suspicious," he said.

The families of 3 men were devastated and baffled by their deaths, 2 of which occurred in 1993 and the third in 1999; all before chronic wasting disease was known to exist in Wisconsin's deer herd. 

Raising more suspicion, however, is the fact that some of the meat served at the wild game feasts was elk and deer from Western states, including Colorado, where chronic wasting disease has been endemic for decades. Presented last week with specifics of the cases, state public health officials expressed concern. "We've immediately decided to proceed with an investigation," said Jeffrey Davis, chief medical officer and state epidemiologist for communicable diseases at the Wisconsin Division of Public Health. He said the state will request death certificates and clinical and laboratory records for the 3 men.

So far, there has not been a documented case of a person contracting chronic wasting disease, but a handful of suspicious cases have surfaced in Wisconsin and around the country, all involving venison eaters who have contracted CJD, a deadly neurological disorder closely related to mad cow disease. One of those cases involved a Minneapolis resident who died of CJD in 1996 at the age of 41. He occasionally ate venison from Wisconsin, including deer killed in Barron County. There have also been several documented cases of CJD among people who cooked and ate brains from squirrels and wild goats.

The human version of mad cow disease, known as new variant CJD has killed more than 130 people in Europe and is believed to be caused by eating contaminated beef. Scientists who watched mad cow disease jump from animals to humans are now deeply concerned that chronic wasting disease will make the same leap, if it hasn't already happened. "We're actively looking for human beings who have acquired chronic wasting disease," said G. Richard Olds, chairman and Linda and John Mellowes Professor of Medicine at the Medical College of Wisconsin.

Chronic wasting disease, mad cow disease and CJD are so-called transmissible spongiform encephalopathies and are believed to be caused by prions. Prions are mutant proteins that get normal proteins to mimic their distorted shape, resulting in a buildup of spongelike holes in the brain. One reason prions are so feared is that they are highly resistant to heat and other sanitizing methods. In addition, prions may silently incubate for years or even decades in a person before producing symptoms of disease. 

If chronic wasting disease prions were going to infect people, the men who gathered for the feasts at the Brule River cabin in northwestern Wisconsin were as likely candidates as any. Several of the men were prolific hunters, bagging hoofed game in Wisconsin, the western United States, Mexico, and Canada.

There may be reasons to question the diagnosis in the case of the Pick's disease patient. It is "highly unusual" for a Pick's patient to die within a year of the onset of symptoms, Grafman said. The vast majority of patients die within 2 to 10 years, whereas the patient in question died slightly less than a year after he first displayed symptoms It's also unusual for someone to get Pick's after age 60 and this patient died at age 66. More important, the gold standard for diagnosing Pick's disease is to do an autopsy and a molecular analysis of brain tissue. However, according to a certificate of death obtained from the state of Nevada, where the third patient died after being taken to a clinic in Reno for treatment, no autopsy was performed.

Maki said he believes that if chronic wasting disease spreads among Wisconsin's deer herd, it's only a matter of time before the disease spreads to people."We eventually will see cases (in humans)," he said. However, he predicted the number of cases is likely to remain small and the risk low.

In 2000, federal government researchers at the Rocky Mountain Laboratories in Hamilton, Montana, analyzed prions from deer infected with chronic wasting disease. The analysis showed a substantial molecular barrier that helped prevent chronic wasting prions from converting normal human protein to the mutant form. Despite the barrier, deer prions ultimately were able to convert human protein to the mutant form. They did so with about the same level of efficiency as mad cow prions.

Maki and others point to a growing body of evidence linking the consumption of deer or other wild game with CJD. In 1984, neurologists at Baylor College of Medicine investigated 4 suspicious deaths involving unrelated patients, all with a history of eating the brains of wild animals. All the patients eventually died, and CJD was the suspected cause. "Our patients ate many brains from many wild animals over the course of many years and therefore could have come in contact with infected material," the researchers wrote.

In 1986, a study involving 26 CJD patients by researchers at Temple University and the National Institutes of Health found that exposure to deer through a hobby such as hunting resulted in up to a 9-fold increased risk for CJD.

A 1997 study in the journal Lancet linked 5 unrelated CJD patients from different towns in rural Kentucky to a history of eating squirrel brains. "Culinary preparations include scrambling the brains with eggs or putting them in a meat and vegetable stew referred to as 'burgoo,' " the researchers wrote.

In October 2001, a study in the journal Archives of Neurology reported on the cases of 3 people who contracted CJD and who had been deer hunters or had regularly eaten venison. The 3 individuals, who were from Maine, Oklahoma, and Utah, all were under the age of 30 and came down with the disease between 1997 and 2000. The vast majority of CJD patients get the disease in their 60s and 70s. The researchers, some from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, concluded that although circumstances suggested a connection with chronic wasting disease, they could find no "causal link." Now, the cases of  the 3 Wisconsin men raise some of the same questions. Fred Bannister, a small-town doctor who knew all 3 men and took part in the wild game feeds, said a thorough investigation of the case is needed.

NBII

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